Before the election, this is where I guessed Trump voters might be. Here is where they actually were. Meet Denver election precinct 132. It’s in the Marston neighborhood, right next to Bow Mar, which I didn’t know was a town until today.
Trump’s margin wasn’t huge. Fewer than 55 percent of voters favored him there. But that was enough to make it the only precinct in the county that picked him, according to the final unofficial results.
Citywide, Clinton got nearly 4 times as many votes as Trump did and in many precincts, more than 70 percent of voters chose her.
The precinct itself only had 1,661 people according to the most recent available data from the 2010-2014 American Community Census.
When dealing with an area this small, it’s worth noting that demographic margins of error are in play. It’s also necessary to point out that Denver has changed quite a bit since 2014, but this is what we can say about those people:
- Most of them, 77.97 percent, are white, but 16.13 percent of the area is Hispanic.
- The median age in the area is mid-40s. More than 26 percent of the population is over 65.
- The average household income in the area was $86,173.29 for the survey period and the average family income was higher.
- The most common level of educational attainment was a bachelor’s degree or higher, followed by some college. Collectively, they are about 2/3 of the population.
And yes, in case you’re wondering, my guess for whether Trump voters lived there was off.
I made my estimate from research that indicated that areas where people receive the earned income tax credit are more likely to vote for Trump. But exit polling has since shown that white voters above the age of 45 and voters with incomes above $50,000 tended to favor Trump. Kind of like precinct 132.